Dr Marzena Osuch

Assistant Professor, Hydrology and Hydrodynamics Department

Institute of Geophysics Polish Academy of Sciences
addres: Księcia Janusza 64, 01-452 Warsaw
phone: +48 22 6915-856, e-mail: marz@igf.edu.pl@igf.edu.pl

Education

  • 1990-1995 Warsaw Technical University, Environmental Engineering. Department, Hydrology and Water Management
  • 2008 Ph.D., Institute of Geophysics PAS

Employment

  • Since 1994 - Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences

Research interests

  • Impact of climate change on hydrological processes
  • Hydrological modelling, among others rainfall-runoff, flood wave transformation, transport of pollutants in rivers
  • The use of modern techniques of sensitivity analysis and uncertainty estimation in hydrological modelling
  • The use of systems theory to hydrological modelling
  • Non-stationary hydrological model parameters

Research Grants

Hindcasting and Projections of Hydro-Climatic Conditions of Southern Spitsbergen, NCN, Project Leader

Climate Change Impacts on Hydrological Extremes (CHIHE), NCBiR, funded under the Polish- Norwegian Research Cooperation

Publications on Web of Science lists

  1. Piotrowski, A.P., Osuch, M., Napiorkowski, J.J. (2020) Joint Optimization of Conceptual Rainfall-Runoff Model Parameters and Weights Attributed to Meteorological Stations, Water Resources Management, DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-02368-8
  2. Blöschl, G., Hall, J., Viglione, A., Perdigão, R. A. P., Parajka, J., Merz, B., Lun, D., Arheimer, B., Aronica, G. T., Bilibashi, A., Boháč, M., Bonacci, O., Borga, M., Čanjevac, I., Castellarin, A., Chirico, G. B., Claps, P., Frolova, N., Ganora, D., Gorbachova, L., Gül, A., Hannaford, J., Harrigan, S., Kireeva, M., Kiss, A., Kjeldsen, T. R., Kohnová, S., Koskela, J. J., Ledvinka, O., Macdonald, N., Mavrova-Guirguinova, M., Mediero, L., Merz, R., Molnar, P., Montanari, A., Murphy, C., Osuch, M., Ovcharuk, V., Radevski, I., Salinas, J. L., Sauquet, E., Šraj, M., Szolgay, J., Volpi, E., Wilson, D., Zaimi, K. and Živković, N. (2019) Changing climate both increases and decreases European river floods. Nature, Vol. 573(7772), pp. 108-111, doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1495-6.
  3. Osuch, M., Wawrzyniak, T., Nawrot, A. (2019) Diagnosis of the hydrology of a small Arctic permafrost catchment using HBV conceptual rainfall-runoff model. Hydrology Research 50(2), 459-478, DOI: 10.2166/nh.2019.031
  4. Piotrowski, A.P., Napiorkowski, J.J., Osuch, M. (2019), Relationship Between Calibration Time and Final Performance of Conceptual Rainfall-Runoff Models, Water Resources Management 33(1), 19-37, DOI: 10.1007/s11269-018-2085-3
  5. Osuch, M., Romanowicz, R., Wong, W.K. (2018) Analysis of low flow indices under varying climatic conditions in Poland, Hydrology Research 49(2), 373-389, DOI: 10.2166/nh.2017.021
  6. Helmert, J., Lange, M., Dong, J., de Rosnay, P., Gustafsson, D., Churulin, E. Kurzeneva, E., Müller, R., Trentmann, J., Souverijns, N., Koch, R., Böhm, U., Bartik, M., Osuch, M., Rozinkina, I., Bettems, J.-M., Samuelsson, P., Marcucci, F., Milelli, M. (2018) 1st Snow Data Assimilation Workshop in the framework of COST HarmoSnow ESSEM 1404, Meteorologische Zeitschrift 27(4), DOI: 10.1127/metz/2018/0906
  7. Osuch, M., Lawrence, D., Meresa, H.K., Napiorkowski, J.J., Romanowicz, R.J. (2018) Projected changes in flood indices in selected catchments in Poland in the 21st century, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 31(9), 2435-2457, DOI: 10.1007/s00477-016-1296-5
  8. Blöschl G., Hall, J., Parajka, J., Perdigão, R. A. P., Merz, B., Arheimer, B., Aronica, G.T., Bilibashi, A., Bonacci, O., Borga, M., Čanjevac, I., Castellarin A., Chirico, G.B., Claps, P., Fiala, K., Frolova, N., Gorbachova, L., Gül, A., Hannaford, J., Harrigan, S., Kireeva, M., Kiss, A., Kjeldsen, T. R., Kohnová, S., Koskela, J.J., Ledvinka, O., Macdonald, N., Mavrova-Guirguinova, M., Mediero, L., Merz, R., Molnar, P., Montanari A., Murphy, C., Osuch, M., Ovcharuk, V., Radevski, I., Rogger, M., Salinas, J.L., Sauquet, E., Šraj, M., Szolgay, J., Viglione, A., Volpi, E., Wilson, D., Zaimi, K., Živković N. (2017) Changing climate shifts timing of European floods Science 357, 588–590, DOI: 10.1126/science.aan2506.
  9. Piniewski, M., Meresa, HK., Romanowicz, R., Osuch, M., Szczesniak, M., Kardel, I., Okruszko, T., Mezghani, A., Kundzewicz, Z.W. (2017) What can we learn from the projections of changes of flow patterns? Results from Polish case studies Acya Geophysica 65(4), 809-827, DOI: 10.1007/s11600-017-0061-6
  10. Osuch M., Wawrzyniak T. (2017) Variations and changes in snow depth at meteorological stations Barentsburg and Hornsund (Spitsbergen), Annals of Glaciology 58(75), 11-20, DOI: 10.1017/aog.2017.20
  11. Wawrzyniak T., Osuch M., Nawrot A., Napiórkowski JJ. (2017) Run-off modelling in an Arctic unglaciated catchment (Fuglebekken, Spitsbergen). Annals of Glaciology Volume: 58 Issue: 75 Pages: 36-46 Part: 1, DOI: 10.1017/aog.2017.8
  12. Laaha, G., Gauster, T., Tallaksen, L. M., Vidal, J.-P., Stahl, K., Prudhomme, C., Heudorfer, B., Vlnas, R., Ionita, M., Van Lanen, H. A. J., Adler, M.-J., Caillouet, L., Delus, C., Fendekova, M., Gailliez, S., Hannaford, J., Kingston, D., Van Loon, A. F., Mediero, L., Osuch, M., Romanowicz, R., Sauquet, E., Stagge, J. H., and Wong, W. K. (2017) The European 2015 drought from a hydrological perspective, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3001–3024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3001-2017.
  13. Osuch M, Wawrzyniak T (2016) Climate projections in the Hornsund area, Southern Spitsbergen. Polish Polar Research vol. 37, no. 3, pp. 379–402, doi: 10.1515/popore-2016-0020.
  14. Osuch M, Wawrzyniak T (2016) Inter- and intra-annual changes of air temperature and precipitation in western Spitsbergen, International Journal of Climatology. 37(7), 3082-3097.
  15. Wawrzyniak T, Osuch M, Napiórkowski JJ, Westermann S (2016) Modelling of the thermal regime of permafrost during 1990–2014 in Hornsund, Svalbard. Polish Polar Research 37(37 2). DOI:10.1515/popore-2016-0013.
  16. Hundecha Y, Sunyer MA, Lawrence D, Madsen H, Willems P, Bürger G, Kriaučiūnienė J, Loukas A, Martinkova M, Osuch M, Vasiliades L, von Christierson B, Vormoor K, Yücel I (2016) Inter-comparison of statistical downscaling methods for projection of extreme flow indices across Europe. Journal of Hydrology, DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.08.033
  17. Osuch M, Lawrence D, Meresa HK, Napiorkowski JJ, Romanowicz RJ (2016) Projected changes in flood indices in selected catchments in Poland in the 21st century. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment; DOI:10.1007/s00477-016-1296-5.
  18. Osuch M, Romanowicz RJ, Lawrence D, Wong WK (2016) Trends in projections of Standardized Precipitation Indices in a future climate in Poland. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20, 1947–1969, doi:10.5194/hess-20-1947-2016.
  19. Meresa HK, Osuch M, Romanowicz R (2016) Hydro-meteorological drought projections into the 21-st century for selected Polish catchments. Water, 8, 206; doi:10.3390/w8050206.
  20. Van Lanen H, Laaha G, Kingston DG, Gauster T, Ionita M, Vidal J-P, Vlnas R, Tallaksen LM, Stahl K, Hannaford J, Delus C, Fendekova M, Mediero L, Prudhomme C, Rets E, Romanowicz RJ, Gailliez S, Wong WK, Adler M-J, Blauhut V, Caillouet L, Chelcea S, Frolova N, Gudmundsson L, Hanel M, Haslinger K, Kireeva M, Osuch M, Sauquet E, Stagge JH, Van Loon AF (2016) Hydrology needed to manage droughts: the 2015 European case. Hydrological Processes. DOI: 10.1002/hyp.10838.
  21. Romanowicz RJ, Bogdanowicz E, Debele SE, Doroszkiewicz J, Hisdal H, Lawrence D, Meresa HK, Napiórkowski JJ, Osuch M, Strupczewski WG, Wilson D, Wong WK (2016) Climate Change Impact on Hydrological Extremes: Preliminary Results from the Polish-Norwegian Project. Acta Geophys. 64 (2): 477-509. doi: 10.1515/acgeo-2016-0009.
  22. Piotrowski A, Napiórkowski MJ, Kalinowska M, Napiórkowski JJ, Osuch M (2016) Are Evolutionary Algorithms Effective in Calibrating Different Artificial Neural Network Types for Streamwater Temperature Prediction? Water Resources Management 30(3): 1217-1237, doi: 10.1007/s11269-015-1222-5.
  23. Sunyer MA, Hundecha Y, Lawrence D, Madsen H, Willems P, Martinkova M, Vormoor K, Burger G, Hanel M, Kriauciuniene J, Loukas A, Osuch M, Yucel I (2015) Inter-comparison of statistical downscaling methods for projection of extreme precipitation in Europe. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19(4): 1827-1847. DOI: 10.5194/hess-19-1827-2015.
  24. Osuch M, Romanowicz RJ, Booij MJ (2015) The influence of parametric uncertainty on the relationships between HBV model parameters and climatic characteristics. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60(7-8): 1299-1316.
  25. Piotrowski AP, Napiorkowski MJ, Napiorkowski JJ, Osuch M (2015) Comparing various artificial neural network types for water temperature prediction in rivers. Journal of Hydrology, 529 (part 1): 302-315.
  26. Hall J, Arheimer B, Aronica GT, Bilibashi A, Bohac M, Borga M, Burlando P, Castellarin A, Chirico GB, Claps P, Fiala K, Gaal L, Gorbachova L, Gül A, Hannaford J, Kiss A, Kjeldsen T, Kohnova S, Koskela JJ, Macdonald N, Mavrova-Guirguinova M, Ledvinka O, Mediero L, Merz B, Merz R, Molnar P, Montanari A, Osuch M, Parajka J, Perdigao RAP, Radevski I, Renard B, Rogger M, Salinas JL, Sauquet E, Sraj M, Szolgay J, Viglione A, Volpi E, Wilson D, Zaimi K, Blöschl G (2015) A European Flood Database: facilitating comprehensive flood research beyond administrative boundaries. Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS), 370: 89-95.
  27. Piotrowski AP, Osuch M, Napiórkowski MJ, Rowiński PM, Napiórkowski JJ (2014) Comparing large number of metaheuristics for artificial neural networks training to predict water temperature in a natural river, Computer & Geosciences, 64: 136-151.
  28. Kiczko A, Romanowicz RJ, Osuch M, Karamuz E (2013) Maximizing the usefulness of flood risk assessment for the River Vistula in Warsaw, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 13(12): 3443–3455.
  29. Romanowicz RJ, Osuch M, Grabowiecka M (2013) On the choice of calibration periods and objective functions: a practical guide to model parameter identification. Acta Geophysica 61(6): 1477-1503, DOI: 10.2478/s11600-013-0157-6.
  30. Romanowicz RJ, Osuch M, Wallis S (2013) Modelling of solute transport in rivers under different flow rates: a case study without transient storage. Acta Geophysica 61(1): 98-125, doi: 10.2478/s11600-012-0050-8.
  31. Kiczko A, Romanowicz RJ, Osuch M (2011) Impact of water management policy on flow conditions in wetland areas. J. Phys. Chem. Earth, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2011.07.004.
  32. Mrokowska M, Osuch M (2011) Assessing validity of the dead zone model to characterize transport of contaminants in Wkra River. Geoplanet: Earth and Planetary Sciences, Experimental Methods in Hydraulic Research, 235-245.
  33. Luks B, Osuch M, Romanowicz RJ (2011) The relationship between snowpack dynamics and NAO/AO indices in SW Spitsbergen. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2011.06.004.
  34. Romanowicz RJ, Osuch M (2011) Assessment of land use and water management induced changes in flow regime of the Upper Narew. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2011.04.012.

Other publications

Osuch M., Romanowicz R.J., 2014, Ocena wpływu zmian klimatu na zasoby wodne –wyniki z projektu Klimada, Monografie Komitetu Gospodarki Wodnej Polskiej Akademii Nauk, z. XX,  II Kongres Hydrologiczny, Hydrologia w inżynierii wodnej, Tom 1, 201-213.
Romanowicz R.J., Osuch M., Karamuz E., 2014, Stochastyczny system transformacji fali wezbraniowej na odcinku Wisły pomiędzy Zawichostem a Warszawą, Monografie Komitetu Gospodarki Wodnej Polskiej Akademii Nauk, , z. XX, II Kongres Hydrologiczny, Hydrologia w inżynierii wodnej, Tom 1, 115-126.
Liszewska M., Osuch M., Romanowicz R., 2012, "ZASTOSOWANIE REGIONALNEGO MODELU KLIMATU DO BADANIA WPŁYWU ZMIAN UŻYTKOWANIA TERENU" W: Rola cyrkulacji atmosfery w kształtowaniu klimatu Z. Bielec-Bąkowska, E. Łupikasza, A. Widawski (red.) Katedra Klimatologii, Wydział Nauk o Ziemi, Uniwersytet Śląski
Romanowicz R.J., Osuch M, Napiórkowski J.J., 2012, Wpływ zmian użytkowania terenu oraz zbiornika retencyjnego na przepływy w zlewni Górnej Narwi, Monografie Komitetu Gospodarki Wodnej PAN ‘Problemy obliczania przepływów ekstremalnych w zlewniach kontrolowanych i niekontrolowanych’
Osuch M., Romanowicz R.J., Paquet E., Garavaglia F., 2012, Zastosowania metody SCHADEX do estymacji przepływów maksymalnych o określonym prawdopodobieństwie przewyższenia w zlewni Nysy Kłodzkiej. Monografie Komitetu Gospodarki Wodnej PAN ‘Problemy obliczania przepływów ekstremalnych w zlewniach kontrolowanych i niekontrolowanych’
Mrokowska M., Osuch M., 2011, „Modelowanie transportu zanieczyszczeń w korytach rzecznych z uwzględnieniem niepewności na przykładzie modelu martwych stref” Przegląd naukowy Inżynieria i Kształtowanie Środowiska, 20(51), 3-14.
Romanowicz R., Osuch M., Wallis. S., 2010, “Modelling Of Pollutant Transport In Rivers Under Unsteady Flow” Proceedings IAHR European Division Conference, Wielka Brytania 2010
Romanowicz R., Osuch M., 2010, “Assessment of the land use and water management induced changes in baseflow series” EGU General Assembly 2010, Wiedeń
Luks B., Osuch M., 2010, "Parameter variability in transfer function modelling of snow depth dynamics" EGU General Assembly 2010, Wiedeń
Liszewska M., Osuch M., Romanowicz R., 2010, "Simulating land use changes in the Upper Narew catchment using the RegCM model" EGU General Assembly 2010, Wiedeń
Osuch M., Luks B., Romanowicz R., 2010, “Stochastic transfer function modelling of snow depth at Polish Polar Station in Hornsund”, Spitsbergen EGU General Assembly 2010, Wiedeń
Kiczko A., Napiórkowski J., Osuch M., 2010, „Impact of water management policy on flow conditions in wetland areas” EGU General Assembly 2010, Wiedeń
Romanowicz R., Kiczko A., Osuch M., 2010, „Wyznaczanie map zagrożenia powodziowego: teoria i praktyka.” Polska Akademia Nauk, Komitet Inżynierii Środowiska, Hydrologia w Inżynierii i Gospodarce Wodnej, 68, 337-346.
Romanowicz R., Osuch M., Wallis S., 2010 „Modelowanie transportu zanieczyszczeń rozpuszczonych w warunkach zmieniającego się przepływu”, Polska Akademia Nauk, Komitet Inżynierii Środowiska, Hydrologia w Inżynierii i Gospodarce Wodnej, nr 68, 417-428.
Romanowicz R.J., Osuch M., Kiczko A., and J.J. Napiórkowski, 2009, An Integrated Lowland Catchment Model for the Upper Narew, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-9177-2, EGU General Assembly 2009.
Osuch M., Romanowicz R., and J.J. Napiórkowski, 2009, Assessing uncertainties in solute transport models: Upper Narew case study, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-9164-1, EGU General Assembly 2009
Romanowicz R.J., Osuch M., Wallis S., Napiórkowski J.J., 2009, Uncertainty in the relationship between flow and parameters in models of pollutant transport, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-9146-2, EGU General Assembly 2009
Romanowicz R.J., Osuch M., 2008, An Integrated Data Based Mechanistic Lowland Catchment Model for the Upper Narew, PUBLICATIONS OF THE INSTITUTE OF GEOPHYSICS POLISH ACADEMY OF SCIENCES, E-9 (405), pp 57-74.
Osuch M., Romanowicz R.J., Napiórkowski J.J., 2008, “Solute Transport Processes in Wetlands - Application of Data Based Mechanistic and Transient Storage Models”, PUBLICATIONS OF THE INSTITUTE OF GEOPHYSICS POLISH ACADEMY OF SCIENCES, E-9 (405), pp. 89-106.
Osuch M., Romanowicz R.J., Wallis S., 2008, “Uncertainty in the Relationship Between Flow and Parameters in Models of Pollutant Transport”, Publications of the Institute of Geophysics Polish Academy of Sciences, E-10 (406), pp. 127-138.
Osuch M., Kiczko A., Napiórkowski J.J., Romanowicz R.J., 2007, “Sensitivity analysis of transient storage model predictions – Narew National Park case study”, Publications of the Institute of Geophysics Polish Academy of Sciences. E-7(401), 197-205.
Osuch M., Romanowicz R., Napiórkowski J.J., 2007, “Study of the dispersion processes in a wetland system - application of data based mechanistic and transient storage models”, Proceedings 21st International Conference on Informatics for Environmental Protection, September 12-14, 2007, Warsaw, Poland, Shaker Verlag, 167-174.
Kiczko A., Osuch M., Romanowicz R.J., 2006, “Estimation of flood risk in Warsaw”, PUBLS. INST. GEOPHYS. POL. ACAD. SC., E-6 (390).
Rowiński P.M., Napiórkowski J.J., Osuch M., 2005, „Recognition of hydrological processes in the Upper Narew multichannel river system and their influence on region sustainable development”, in “Computational Modeling for the Development of Sustainable Water-Resources Systems in Poland”, Monographic Volume, Publications of the Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Ser. E-5 (387), US-Poland Technology Transfer Program, pp.27-55,
Ostrowski M., Ostaficzuk S., Osuch M., 2003, “The basic approach to understanding the interaction between the protection of environment and the infrastructure (the flood case)”, ECO FLOOD Towards natural flood reduction strategies, Warszawa, 6-13 wrzesień 2003.
Osuch M., 2003, “Rainfall-Runoff Modeling of the Nysa Kłodzka Catchment using Geographic Information System (GIS)” Publications of the Institute of Geophysics Polish Academy of Sciences, E-3 (365) Modelling and control of floods.
Osuch M., 2003, “Regionalization parameters of conceptual rainfall-runoff model” EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly Nicea, P0785; EAE03-A-13696; HS3-1FR3P-0785
Strupczewski W.G., Osuch M., 2001, „O dynamice lagun liberyjskich w czasie pory suchej”. Przegląd Geofizyczny, zeszyt 4, 339-349.
Liszewska M., Osuch M., 2002, “Climate changes in Central Europe projected by General Circulation Models”, GeoJournal, 2002 (Vol. 57) (No. 3) 139-147
Belokurow A., R. Fealy, T. Hickler, M. Osuch, S. Vidyakina, 2001, “Design and Implementation of an Integrated Assessment for the Impact of Climate Change on Forestry-dependent Communities in Northern Sweden”, 289-295. Proceedings of an Advanced Study Course at Abisko Reasearch Station, Sweden, on July 4-16, 1999. Institute for Geophysics, University of Muenster, Germany 2001
Belokurow, R. Fealy, T. Hickler, M. Osuch, S. Vidyakina, 2001, “Uncertainties related to Marine Ecosystem Processes”, 319 – 326. Proceedings of an Advanced Study Course at Abisko Reasearch Station, Sweden, on July 4-16, 1999. Institute for Geophysics, University of Muenster, Germany 2001
Belokurow, R. Fealy, T. Hickler, M. Osuch, S. Vidyakina, 2001, “Forest Carbon Sequestration – The Impacts of Climate Change on the Forestry Sector in Northern Sweden, 353- 360. Proceedings of an Advanced Study Course at Abisko Reasearch Station, Sweden, on July 4-16, 1999. Institute for Geophysics, University of Muenster, Germany 2001
Osuch M., 2000, “Comparison of mean sea level pressure from GCMs against re-analysis for Central Europe”, Prace Geograficzne Instytut Geografii UJ, zeszyt 107, 415-422.
Liszewska M., Osuch M., 2000, “Analysis of results of global climate models for Central Europe and Poland”, Geographia Polonica 73, 2, 49-63.
Liszewska M., Osuch M., 1999, „Analiza wyników globalnych modeli klimatu dla Europy Środkowej i Polski”, Zmiany i zmienność klimatu Polski, Konf. Łódz, 4-6.11.1999, 129-141.
Liszewska M., Osuch M., 1998, “Regional Climate Scenarios and their Applications”, Geographia Polonica 71, 39-56.
Osuch M., Liszewska M., 1997, “Climate change impact on water resources in three Polish catchments: Narew, Warta and Upper Vistula”, Book of abstracts, European Water Resources and Climate change Processes, University College Cork, Irlandia.
Liszewska M., Osuch M., 1997, “Assessment of the Impact of Global Climate Change Simulated by the ECHAM1/LSG General Circulation Model onto Hydrological Regime of Three Polish Catchments”, Acta Geophysica Polonica XLV, 4,363-386.
Kaczmarek Z., Liszewska M., Osuch M., 1997, “Water Management in South Asia in the 21st Century”, Geographia Polonica 70, 7-24.
Kaczmarek Z., Niestępski M., Osuch M., 1995, “Climatic Change Impact on Water Availability and Use”, WP-95-48, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 18 pp.